Understand the System You’re Operating In

When technology, regulation, markets, and stakeholders all influence one another, linear analysis stops working.


I help organisations and associations make sense of complex environments, identify what truly matters, and navigate uncertainty with clarity.

What I Offer and Why it Matters

 

These are the questions I’m often asked to support:

  • What are the underlying forces shaping our sector, and how do they interact?

  • Which weak signals deserve our attention — and which do not?

  • Where are the tipping points or pressure points in our system (market, region)?

  • What might change if other actors respond in ways we can’t control?

  • How do we prepare for uncertainty when our stakeholders have different priorities and assumptions?

Services

Projects

Navigating the Green Steel Transition

Strategic foresight research on large-scale industrial transitions under uncertainty, examining how technological change, regional dynamics, and collective expectations interact over time. Focus on system dynamics, feedback effects, and strategic options beyond linear planning.

Strategies to Advance the Quantum Tech Ecosystem

Research on how organizations and policymakers can reason strategically about emerging technologies when development paths, timelines, and impacts remain deeply uncertain. The work focuses on innovation systems, expectations, and the limits of prediction.

Long-Term Population and Urban Futures

Foresight research on long-term demographic and socio-economic dynamics shaping urban development. The focus lies on migration, housing, labor markets, and how slow-moving trends interact with more uncertain drivers of change.

Why Organizations Work With Me

 

  • You need clarity without oversimplification

  • You operate in systems where no single actor is in control

  • You want structured thinking, not packaged frameworks

  • You prefer grounded foresight over grand narratives

  • You value independence — analysis without institutional bias

Organizations hire me because they want to make decisions using a deeper understanding of their environment, not an oversimpliefied one.

Who Is This For?

When leaders face decisions in uncertain environments, oversimplification becomes risky.
My work provides a structured view of how systems behave, how signals connect, and how individual decisions can accumulate into larger, sometimes unintended, outcomes.

This approach is especially valuable for:

  • Industry, trade or business associations

  • Regional clusters or ecosystems

  • Collaborative networks and multi-stakeholder partnerships

  • Large organisations working across multiple domains

 

Frequently Asked Questions